纪珽;潘煜;林发勤;

• 1:中央财经大学国际经济与贸易学院
• 2:清华大学经济管理学院
• 3:中国农业大学经济管理学院

摘要(Abstract)：

本文依据2000年第五次全国人口普查和2005年全国人口抽样调查的数据,采用双重差分法探究了贸易开放对我国代际间的职业流动性的影响,并得出以下主要结论:贸易越开放的地区,代际间的职业流动性越强,且向上流动的可能性要高于向下流动的可能性。机制分析表明:贸易一方面通过增加较开放地区对高技能工人的需求进而增加子女职业向上流动的可能性,另一方面通过促进个体向较开放地区迁移进而提高代际间的职业向上流动性,而贸易引致的家庭对子女的教育投资的变化并不能提高代际的职业向上流动性。

关键词(KeyWords)： 代际间的职业流动;职业继承;贸易开放

Abstract:

Keywords:

基金项目(Foundation): 国家自然科学基金青年项目“代际间的职业继承对劳动生产率的影响——基于多部门异质性个体跨代职业选择模型的反事实实验”(71703180)，国家自然科学基金项目“中国对外贸易对青年受教育程度的异质性因果影响、内在机理及政策模拟研究”(71773148);; 国家社会科学基金重大项目“新常态下完善我国宏观调控目标体系与宏观调控机制研究”(15ZDA009)

作者(Author): 纪珽;潘煜;林发勤;

Email:

DOI: 10.13510/j.cnki.jit.2020.09.001

参考文献(References)：

• [1]朱晨.职业代际继承与流动:基于中国人口普查数据的实证分析[J].劳动经济研究，2017,5(06):87-106.
• [2]王春光.中国职业流动中的社会不平等问题研究[J].中国人口科学，2003(2):27-36.
• [3]LONG J,FERRIE J. Intergenerational Occupational Mobility in Great Britain and the United States since 1850[J]. American Economic Review,2013,103(4):1109-37.
• [4]AHSAN R N,CHATTERJEE A. Trade Liberalization and Intergenerational Occupational Mobility in Urban India[J]. Journal of International Economics,2017,109:138-152.
• [5]PLUG E,VIJVERBERG W. Does Family Income Matter for Schooling Outcomes? Using Adoptees as a Natural Experiment[J]. Economic Journal,2005,115(506):879-906.
• [6] GURYAN J,HURST E,KEARNEY M. Parental Education and Parental Time with Children[J]. Journal of Economic Perspectives,2008,22(3):23-46.
• [7] CURRIE J,MORETTI E. Mother's Education and the Intergenerational Transmission of Human Capital:Evidence from College Openings[J]. Quarterly Journal of Economics,2003,118(4):1495-1532.
• [8] KIRCHSTEIGER G,SEBALD A. Investments into Education—Doing as the Parents Did[J]. European Economic Review,2010,54(4):501-516.
• [9] GRANOVETTER M S. The Strength of Weak Ties[M]. Social Networks,1977:347-367.
• [10]LIN N,ENSEL W M,VAUGHN J C. Social Resources and Strength of Ties:Structural Factors in Occupational Status Attainment[J]. American Sociological Review,1981:393-405.
• [11] BIAN Y. Bringing Strong Ties Back in:Indirect Ties,Network Bridges,and Job Searches in China[J]. American Sociological Review,1997:366-385.
• [12]边燕杰，张文宏，程诚.求职过程的社会网络模型:检验关系效应假设[J].社会，2012(3):24-37.
• [13] HAN J,LIU R,ZHANG J. Globalization and Wage Inequality:Evidence from Urban China[J]. Journal of International Economics,2012,87:288-297.
• [14]ATKIN D. Endogenous Skill Acquisition and Export Manufacturing in Mexico[J]. American Economic Review,2016,106(8):2046-2085.
• [15]BENJAMIN B. Inter-generation Differences in Occupation:A Sample Comparison,in England and Wales,of Census and Birth Registration Records[J]. Population Studies,1958,11(3):262-268.
• [16] DE JOCAS Y,ROCHER G. Inter-generation Occupational Mobility in the Province of Quebec[J]. Canadian Journal of Economics and Political Science,1957,23(01):57-68.
• [17] BLAU P M,DUNCAN O. D. The American Occupational Structure[J]. American Sociological Review,1967,33(2).
• [18]MEYER J W,ZAGRSKI K. Education and Occupational Mobility:A Comparison of Polish and American Men[J]. American Journal of Sociology,1979,84:978-986.
• [19] KWICK M. European Universities and Educational and Occupational Intergenerational Social Mobility[J].Technical and Vocational Education and Training,2015:86-110.
• [20]BEHRMAN J R,GAVIRIA A,SZKELY M,BIRDSALL N,GALIANI S. Intergenerational Mobility in Latin America[J]. Economia,2001,2(1):1-31.
• [21] EMRAN M S,SHILPI F. Intergenerational Occupational Mobility in Rural Economy:Evidence from Nepal and Vietnam[J]. Journal of Human Resources,2010,46(2):427-458.
• [22]JI T. Aggregate Implications of Occupational Inheritance in China and India[J]. B. E. Journal of Macroeconomics,2019(1).
• [23]孙凤.职业代际流动的对数线性模型[J].统计研究，2006(7):61-65.
• [24]郭丛斌，丁小浩.职业代际效应的劳动力市场分割与教育的作用[J].经济科学，2004(3):34-40.
• [25]阳义南，连玉君.中国社会代际流动性的动态解析[J].管理世界，2014(4):79-82.
• [26]邢春冰.中国农村非农就业机会的代际流动[J].经济研究，2006(9):103-116.
• [27]吴晓刚.中国的户籍制度与代际职业流动[J].社会学研究，2007(6):38-65.
• [28]纪珽，梁琳.代际职业流动及其影响因素的性别差异[J].南开经济研究，2020(02):25-48.
• [29]YEAPLE S R. A Simple Model of Firm Heterogeneity,International Trade and Wages[J]. Journal of International Economics,2005,65(1):1-20.
• [30]VERHOOGEN E A. Trade,Quality Upgrading and Wage Inequality in the Mexican Manufacturing Sector[J].Quarterly Journal of Economics,2008,123(2):489-530.
• [31]BUSTOS P. Trade Liberalization,Exports and Technology Upgrading:Evidence on the Impact of MERCOSUR on Argentinian Firms[J]. American Economic Review,2011,101(1):304-340.
• [32] BURSTEIN A,JAVIER C,VOGEL J. Importing Skill-biased Technology[J]. American Economic Journal:Macroeconomics,2013,5(2):32-71.
• [33]GANZEBOOM H B,DE GRAAF P M,TREIMAN D J. A Standard International Socio-economic Index of Occupational Status[J]. Social Science Research,1992,21(1):1-56.
• [34]李力行，周广肃.代际传递、社会流动性及其变化趋势———来自收入、职业、教育、政治身份的多角度分析[J].浙江社会科学，2014(5):11-22.
• [35]LIU Q,QIU L. Intermediate Input Imports and Innovations:Evidence from Chinese firms'Patent Filings[J].Journal of International Economics,2016,103:166-183.
• [36]GANZEBOOM H B,TREIMAN D J. Internationally Comparable Measures of Occupational status for the 1988 International Standard Classification of Occupations[J]. Social Science Research,1996,25(3):201-239.
• [37]BLOOM N,DRACA M,VAN REENEN J. Trade Induced Technical Change? The Impact of Chinese Imports on Innovation,IT and Productivity[J]. Review of Economic Studies,2016,83(1):87-117.
• [38]AGHION P,BLUNDELL R,GRIFFITH R,HOWITT P,PRANTL S. The Effects of Entry on Incumbent Innovation and Productivity[J]. Review of Economics and Statistics,2009,91(1):20-32.
• [39]DAI M,HUANG W,ZHANG Y. How do Households Adjust to Trade Liberalization? Evidence from China's WTO Accession. IZA Discussion Paper No. 11428,2018.